Sunday, 17 August 2025

Damn it! Racial and religious bigots just don’t have the brains and intelligence to understand socio-economic growth

Share to help stimulate good governance, ensure future of people & M’sia

No News Is Bad News

 60 years ago, who could have predicted Singapore would be a better and wealthier country than Malaysia, a country that kicked it out of the federation.

Damn it! Racial and religious bigots just don’t have the brains and intelligence to understand socio-economic growth

KUALA LUMPUR, Aug 18, 2025: The Coverage has posted an article titled If All Malaysian Chinese Left: 30% GDP Plunge, Currency Crash, National Bankruptcy , Banking Meltdown, Stock & Property Market Collapse – Total Economic Ruin & The Fall Of Healthcare, Education & Tourism.

No News Is Bad News doubts the racial and religious bigots in multi-racial Malaysia have the brains and intelligence to understand socio-econmic progress.

The bigots, including politicians, especially those from Umno led by the racial and religious bigoted Umno youth chief Dr Akmal “Dr Ham/I Am Malay First” Saleh, are only bent on serving their selfish political agenda for power - at the expense of national unity and harmony.

Facebook image

Here’s the article:

News

If All Malaysian Chinese Left: 30% GDP Plunge, Currency Crash, National Bankruptcy , Banking Meltdown, Stock & Property Market Collapse – Total Economic Ruin & The Fall Of Healthcare, Education & Tourism

18 August, 2025

The Economic Impact of a Hypothetical Malaysian Chinese Migration

If all Malaysian Chinese were to migrate, Malaysia’s economy would face severe disruptions and long-term decline.

The Malaysian Chinese community, comprising approximately 23% of Malaysia’s population (around 7 million people), is a cornerstone of the nation’s economy. Their influence spans trade, commerce, education, and industry, significantly shaping Malaysia’s economic landscape.

This article examines the hypothetical scenario of a complete migration of the Malaysian Chinese population, analyzing the catastrophic economic fallout, including a severe economic crisis marked by a 20-30% GDP drop, spiking unemployment, a crashing ringgit, lower tax collection, country bankruptcy, banking collapse, stock market crash, property market crash, shrinking foreign direct investment (FDI), a devastated tourism industry, and the potential for Malaysia to become one of the poorest countries in the world.

The Bankruptcy Domino Effect: How Losing Malaysian Chinese Would Crash GDP, Currency and National Systems

A mass migration of Malaysian Chinese would unleash immediate and devastating economic disruptions across multiple sectors:

· SME Collapse: The backbone of Malaysia’s economy, SMEs, heavily reliant on Malaysian Chinese ownership and management, would face widespread closures. This would disrupt supply chains, eliminate jobs, and cripple local economies, particularly in urban areas.

· Property Market Crash: Malaysian Chinese are major players in real estate, driving demand for high-value properties and funding large-scale developments. Their departure would lead to a sharp decline in property prices, stalled projects, and a market crash, especially in cities like Johor Bahru and Kuala Lumpur.

· Banking Collapse: The property crash and SME closures would strain financial institutions with significant exposure to real estate and business loans. Non-performing loans would surge, potentially triggering a banking crisis and widespread insolvency in the financial sector.

· Stock Market Crash: The Bursa Malaysia, heavily weighted with companies tied to Malaysian Chinese businesses, would experience a catastrophic crash. Investor confidence would plummet as key firms in retail, manufacturing, and real estate falter, leading to massive sell-offs and market instability.

· Unemployment Surge: The collapse of SMEs and related industries would result in millions of job losses. Malaysian Chinese dominate both ownership and skilled labor roles, and their absence would leave a void in sectors like manufacturing, retail, and IT, driving unemployment rates to unprecedented levels.

· Ringgit Crash: The loss of investor confidence, coupled with reduced economic activity and trade, would cause the Malaysian ringgit to plummet. A crashing currency would increase import costs, fuel inflation, and exacerbate economic instability.

· Lower Tax Collection: Malaysian Chinese, often in higher income brackets, contribute significantly to personal and corporate taxes. Their migration would lead to a drastic reduction in tax revenues, limiting government spending on infrastructure, healthcare, and education, and exacerbating fiscal challenges.

· Tourism Industry Collapse: Malaysian Chinese own and operate numerous hotels, restaurants, and travel agencies, particularly in tourist hubs like Penang and Malacca. Their departure would lead to closures, reducing tourism infrastructure and diminishing Malaysia’s appeal, especially for Chinese tourists who rely on cultural and linguistic familiarity. Iconic attractions like Penang’s Chinese-influenced street food scene would lose their vibrancy, severely impacting both international and domestic tourism.

Malaysia’s Economic Armageddon: Bankruptcy, 30% GDP Wipeout & Societal Collapse After Chinese Departure

Long-Term Economic Consequences

The long-term fallout would push Malaysia toward economic collapse and potential bankruptcy:

· GDP Shrinkage: The loss of SME contributions, diminished consumer spending, and disrupted trade would cause a severe contraction in GDP. With SMEs contributing nearly 40% to GDP, their collapse alone could shrink the economy by double-digit percentages, plunging Malaysia into a deep recession.

· Economic Crisis (GDP Drops 20-30%, Unemployment Spikes): The collapse of SMEs, diminished consumer spending, and disrupted trade would cause GDP to plummet by an estimated 20-30%. With SMEs contributing nearly 40% to GDP, their loss would trigger a deep recession. Unemployment would spike as businesses close and skilled labor shortages intensify, further contracting economic output.

· Country Bankruptcy: The drastic reduction in tax revenues from businesses and high-income Malaysian Chinese individuals would cripple government finances. With declining GDP and limited fiscal resources, Malaysia could struggle to service its national debt, risking default and bankruptcy.

· Weakened Trade Networks: Malaysian Chinese facilitate trade with China and other global markets through their networks. Their migration would disrupt Malaysia’s position as a Southeast Asian trading hub, reducing foreign direct investment (FDI) and export revenues.

· Skilled Labor Shortage: The community’s significant presence in high-skill sectors like engineering, finance, and IT means their departure would exacerbate Malaysia’s brain drain. This would stifle innovation, reduce productivity, and hinder economic recovery.

· Education Sector Decline: Malaysian Chinese support a robust ecosystem of private and international schools. Their migration would lead to reduced enrollment, school closures, and a weakened education sector, diminishing Malaysia’s appeal as an education hub.

· Malaysia as One of the Poorest Countries: The combined impact of GDP shrinkage, unemployment surges, a crashing ringgit, and diminished FDI would erode Malaysia’s economic standing. Without the Malaysian Chinese’s contributions, Malaysia could slide from a middle-income economy to one of the world’s poorest nations, struggling with chronic poverty and underdevelopment.

The Malaysian Chinese trace their roots to large-scale migrations starting in the 19th century, driven by British colonial policies to support industries like tin mining. Today, they dominate key sectors such as retail, manufacturing, real estate, and finance. The community’s entrepreneurial spirit is evident in their significant presence in small and medium enterprises (SMEs), which account for 97.2% of Malaysia’s business establishments and contribute approximately 38.9% to the nation’s GDP. Many of these SMEs are owned or operated by Malaysian Chinese, leveraging their business acumen and extensive trade networks.

A complete migration of the Malaysian Chinese population would trigger immediate and severe disruptions across multiple sectors. The SME sector, a backbone of Malaysia’s economy, would face a catastrophic collapse. With many businesses owned or managed by Malaysian Chinese, their departure would lead to widespread closures, resulting in job losses and supply chain breakdowns. The ripple effect would impact suppliers, employees, and consumers, causing a sharp decline in economic activity.

The Malaysian Chinese community has historically facilitated trade through cultural and linguistic ties, boosting exports and imports. Their absence could disrupt Malaysia’s position as a trading hub in Southeast Asia, reducing foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade volumes. In 2022, China was Malaysia’s largest trading partner, with bilateral trade valued at over RM450 billion. Losing the community’s role as a bridge to Chinese markets could diminish Malaysia’s economic competitiveness.

The labor market would face a severe shortage of skilled professionals. Malaysian Chinese constitute a significant portion of the workforce in high-skill sectors like engineering, finance, and IT. Their migration would exacerbate Malaysia’s existing brain drain, reducing innovation and productivity.

Tax revenues would plummet due to reduced business activity and personal income contributions. The Malaysian Chinese, often in higher income brackets, contribute significantly to personal and corporate taxes. A shrinking tax base would strain government finances, limiting public investments in infrastructure, healthcare, and education, further slowing economic growth.

The Economic Catastrophe If Malaysian Chinese Depart: Modeling 30% GDP Loss, Financial System Collapse and National Ruin

The Malaysian Chinese Community’s Role in Pension Funds

A. EPF (Employees Provident Fund) Contributions

· The EPF is Malaysia’s largest pension fund, relied upon by millions for retirement.

· Malaysian Chinese, being overrepresented in formal employment and higher-income jobs, contribute disproportionately to EPF.

· Estimated 50-60% of EPF contributions come from the Chinese community.

B. What Happens If They Leave?

· Mass withdrawals: Before migrating, many would liquidate their EPF savings, draining the fund.

· Reduced future contributions: With fewer high-income earners, EPF’s growth slows, hurting all Malaysians’ retirement security.

· Possible fund insolvency: If too many contributors exit, EPF may struggle to pay future pensions.

 Collapse of the Healthcare System

A. Tax Revenue Funds Public Healthcare

· Malaysia’s public healthcare system is heavily subsidized by the government, relying on tax revenue.

· B. Brain Drain of Doctors & Specialists

· Many top doctors, surgeons, and medical professionals are ethnic Chinese.

· A mass exodus would lead to:

· Longer wait times in public hospitals.

· Declining quality of care as experienced specialists leave.

· Higher costs as Malaysia scrambles to hire foreign replacements.

· C. Private Healthcare Collapse

· Most private hospitals and clinics are Chinese-owned or staffed.

· If they shut down, middle-class Malaysians (who rely on private care) would flood public hospitals, overwhelming the system.

If all Malaysian Chinese were to migrate, the pension and healthcare systems would face immediate collapse, triggering a humanitarian and economic crisis.

Malaysian Chinese: The Backbone of Malaysia’s Private Sector

Employment & Job Creation

· Chinese businesses employ millions of Malaysians across all ethnic groups, particularly in manufacturing, retail, and professional services.

Tax Contributions: Funding Malaysia’s Development

· Despite being 23% of the population, Malaysian Chinese contribute an estimated:

· 60-70% of personal income tax revenue (due to higher average incomes).

· 50-60% of corporate taxes (from Chinese-owned businesses).

· This tax revenue funds public healthcare, education, and infrastructure projects that benefit all Malaysians.

The hypothetical migration of the Malaysian Chinese population would trigger a catastrophic economic collapse, with immediate crises in SMEs, real estate, banking, and stock markets, followed by long-term challenges like GDP shrinkage, unemployment, and potential country bankruptcy. The community’s integral role in trade, industry, and education highlights their economic significance.

Why Malaysia Cannot Afford to Lose Its Chinese Community

The Malaysian Chinese community is not just a minority group—it is the engine of Malaysia’s economy. Their businesses, taxes, and expertise sustain growth, employment, and social services. Any policy or social tension that drives them away would trigger an economic disaster worse than any financial crisis.

For Malaysia to thrive, inclusive economic policies, fair opportunities, and racial harmony are not just ideals—they are economic necessities.

“A RM1 Trillion Disaster: What Happens If Malaysia Loses Its Chinese Community?”

The Malaysian Chinese community’s contribution to Malaysia’s GDP is disproportionately large relative to their 23% population share, though exact official breakdowns by ethnicity are not published. Based on economic analyses, tax data, and sector dominance, here are the key estimates:

 Contribution to GDP: 40-50%

1. Private Sector Dominance

· Malaysian Chinese control ~70% of Malaysia’s SMEs (which contribute ~40% of GDP).

· Top conglomerates (e.g., Public Bank, YTL, Genting, IOI Group) founded by Chinese Malaysians account for ~20% of Bursa Malaysia’s market cap.

2. Key Sector Contributions

· Manufacturing (25% of GDP): Chinese-run firms dominate electronics (Penang), textiles, and palm oil processing.

· Services (55% of GDP): Chinese businesses lead in finance, retail, tourism, and professional services.

· Construction (4% of GDP): Major developers (SP Setia, EcoWorld) are Chinese-founded.

3. Tax Revenue Proxy

· Malaysian Chinese pay ~60-70% of personal income taxes and ~50% of corporate taxes, implying their economic activity generates ~40-50% of GDP.

· Estimates derive from:

· SME ownership surveys (70% Chinese-owned).

· Tax contribution studies (e.g., World Bank reports).

· Sector employment data (e.g., Chinese dominate high-value industries).

Consequence of Their Exit

If Malaysian Chinese left:

· Immediate GDP drop: 30-40% (per World Bank scenarios).

· Unemployment surge: 2-3 million jobs lost (across all ethnicities).

Calculating 50% of Malaysia’s GDP in Ringgit:

50% of RM1.8 trillion = RM900 billion

What Does RM900 Billion Represent?

This amount is equivalent to:

· 2.5× Malaysia’s annual defense budget (~RM360 billion)

· Nearly all federal government revenue (RM264.4 billion in 2023) for 3.4 years

· The combined market cap of Malaysia’s top 10 public companies (Maybank, Tenaga, Petronas Chemicals, etc.)

Sectors Contributing to This RM900 Billion

1. Manufacturing (RM450 billion+) – Electronics, palm oil, automotive (Penang, Selangor hubs).

2. Services (RM500 billion+) – Finance (banks like Public Bank), retail (Chinese-owned chains), tourism.

3. Construction & Property (RM70 billion+) – Major developers (SP Setia, EcoWorld).

Economic Impact of Losing RM900 Billion

· Instant recession (GDP per capita would drop from RM27,000 to RM13,500).

· Ringgit could crash to RM5.50–RM6.00 per USD (from ~RM4.70 now).

· Government debt crisis (current debt: RM1.5 trillion; losing 50% GDP means debt-to-GDP spikes to 110%+).

The Malaysian Chinese community’s RM900 billion/year economic contribution is what keeps Malaysia a middle-income nation. Without it, Malaysia would face:

 Banking collapses (Chinese-linked banks hold ~40% of assets).
 Mass unemployment (Chinese businesses employ millions).
 A downgrade to “junk” status for sovereign credit.

An Irreplaceable Pillar of Finance

The Malaysian Chinese community is not just another demographic—it is the cornerstone of the country’s financial stability. Their sudden departure would trigger a systemic crisis worse than 1997-98.

Policy Takeaway: Malaysia must ensure fair economic policies and retain Chinese talent—or risk an irreversible financial collapse.

Malaysian Chinese Dominate Finance & Insurance

A. Banking Sector Reliance

· Founders of major banks:

· Public Bank (Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow)

· Hong Leong Bank (Quek Leng Chan)

· OCBC Malaysia (historically Chinese-backed)

· Market share: Chinese-linked banks control ~30-40% of Malaysia’s banking assets.

· Deposits & loans: Chinese depositors and borrowers form a critical customer base.

B. Insurance Industry Dependence

· Major insurers with Chinese roots:

· Allianz Malaysia (historically UMBC, Chinese-founded)

· Lonpac Insurance (Chinese-owned)

· Many general insurance & takaful players rely on Chinese agents and policyholders.

· Annuity & investment-linked policies: Chinese Malaysians are key buyers of high-value policies, sustaining the life insurance sector.

C. Capital Markets & Investment

· Stock market (Bursa Malaysia):

· 30-50% of market cap comes from Chinese-majority-owned firms (e.g., PETRONAS Gas, Press Metal, Top Glove historically).

· Chinese retail investors are among the most active traders.

· Corporate bonds & sukuk: Many issuers are Chinese-run companies.

Immediate Impact If Malaysian Chinese Migrate En Masse

A. Banking Sector Collapse

 Bank runs – Mass withdrawals as Chinese depositors flee.
 Loan defaults – Many Chinese-owned SMEs stop servicing debt.
 Liquidity crisis – Banks struggle to meet capital requirements.

B. Insurance Industry Implosion

 Mass policy surrenders – Insurers face huge cash outflows.
 Underwriting losses – Health/life insurance pools shrink (Chinese policyholders are lower-risk).
 Agent network collapse – Many insurance agents are ethnically Chinese.

C. Capital Market Meltdown

 Stock market crash – Sell-offs in Chinese-linked stocks (e.g., banks, property, tech).
 Bond market freeze – Reduced demand for corporate debt.
 Foreign investor panic – Malaysia seen as unstable, leading to capital flight.

Conclusion: Without Malaysian Chinese, Malaysia Faces Economic Ruin

If Malaysia were to lose its ethnic Chinese community, the consequences would be catastrophic—plunging the nation into poverty and systemic collapse.

1. Economic Freefall

· GDP would shrink by 30% or more, wiping out decades of progress.

· Banking, insurance, and stock markets would implode, triggering mass unemployment.

· Tax revenues would collapse, crippling public healthcare, education, and infrastructure.

2. From Industrial Powerhouse to Failed State

· Manufacturing (especially electronics) would vanish, destroying Malaysia’s export economy.

· Property markets would crash, leaving cities filled with abandoned projects.

· Tourism and retail sectors would disintegrate without Chinese entrepreneurs and consumers.

3. A Grim Future: Malaysia as the Next Zimbabwe or Venezuela?

· Hyperinflation, capital flight, and a worthless Ringgit.

· Brain drain acceleration as skilled workers flee the sinking economy.

· International isolation, with investors avoiding a high-risk, low-productivity Malaysia.

Final Warning:

Malaysia’s Chinese community is not just a minority—they are the economic lifeline keeping the country from third-world status. Without them, Malaysia wouldn’t just stagnate—it would regress into one of the poorest nations on Earth.

The choice is clear: Policies that protect, empower, and retain Malaysian Chinese are not about favoritism—they are about national survival.

No comments:

Post a Comment