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Be prepared for Taliban-like PAS rule if …
KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 31, 2025: Multiracial Malaysians, in reality, must be prepared for Taliban-like rule under PAS in the future.
That includes Penang and the federal government.
That will become a reality if the Malays don’t throw their support to PKR and Pakatan Harapan (PH) from the next general election (GE16).
And, when Malaysia’s socio-economic status plummets to that of Afghanistan, Pakistan, Syria, etc Malaysians, especially the Malays, have only themselves to blame for the financial sufferings that follow.
No News Is Bad News reproduces below news reports on why Malaysia may come under Taliban-like PAS rule and what the future holds:
Growing Malay population means PAS could lead Penang, says analyst
-31 Jan 2025, 08:30 AM
Oh Ei Sun says PN can forget about Chinese votes and win the state two election cycles from now due to demographic changes.
As of 2020, the Malays, at 44.4%, have made up the majority of Penang’s population, followed by the Chinese (39.1%), Indian (9.45%) and other communities (7.1%). (Facebook pic)
PETALING JAYA: PAS would be the most suitable party to lead Perikatan Nasional’s Penang chapter in the future given the state’s growing Malay population, a political analyst said.
Oh Ei Sun of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs said Gerakan may seem the logical choice to lead Penang PN at the moment as the state is still dominated by Chinese-majority seats.
However, Oh foresees that PAS will have greater sway two election cycles from now, giving the Islamic party the better right to helm the state’s PN chapter.
“If you were to let PAS lead PN (in Penang) here on, you can kiss goodbye to the Chinese votes, and I mean all of them.
“But I can foresee that because of the growth of the Malay population (in Penang), it would make sense (for PAS to lead Penang PN). They can forget about the Chinese votes and still win the state,” he told FMT.
As of 2020, the Malays, at 44.4%, have made up the majority of Penang’s population, followed by the Chinese (39.1%), Indian (9.45%) and other communities (7.1%).
However, Ooi Kee Beng of Penang Institute believes that the state’s electorate will remain focused on the quality of policies offered and inclusiveness, regardless of demographic changes.
This, he said, was because of Penang’s multicultural DNA and international standing.
The Taliban have ruled Afghanistan for 3 years. Here are 5 things to know
FILE - Taliban fighters take control of the Afghan presidential palace after Afghan President Ashraf Ghani fled the country, in Kabul, Afghanistan, on Aug. 15, 2021. (AP Photo/Zabi Karimi, File)
FILE - In this undated and unknown location photo, the new leader of Taliban fighters, Mullah Haibatullah Akhundzada is photographed. (Afghan Islamic Press via AP, File)
By RIAZAT BUTT
KABUL, Afghanistan (AP) — It’s been three years since the Taliban took control of Afghanistan. They have transitioned from insurgency to authority, imposed their interpretation of Islamic law and sought to reinforce their claim to legitimacy.
Despite no international recognition as the country’s official rulers, the Taliban enjoy high-level meetings with major regional powers like China and Russia. They even attended United Nations-sponsored talks while Afghan women and civil society were denied a seat at the table. It was a triumph for the Taliban, who see themselves as the country’s only true representatives.
There’s no domestic challenge to their rule, and no overseas appetite to support one. Wars in Ukraine and Gaza draw the international community’s focus, and Afghanistan doesn’t represent the same terror threat it once did. But challenges remain.
Here are five things to know about the Taliban in power.
Culture wars and rewards
The Taliban supreme leader sits atop a pyramid-like ruling system as a paragon of virtue. Mosques and clerics are on one side. On the other is the Kabul administration, which implements clerics’ decisions and meets with foreign officials.
“There are different levels of extremism, and the Taliban are in an uneasy coalition of ruling hard-liners and political pragmatists. It has put them in a culture war,” said Javid Ahmad, a non-resident scholar at the Middle East Institute.
The most controversial policies are unlikely to be reversed while supreme leader Hibatullah Akhundzada is in charge — and supreme leaders don’t retire or resign. They lead until death.
It’s wishful thinking that diverging opinions are enough to divide the Taliban, said Ibraheem Bahiss with Crisis Group’s South Asia program. “The Taliban are unified and will remain a political force for many years. They rule as one group, they fight as one group.”
To maintain cohesion and ensure discipline, seasoned Taliban have moved from the battlefield into bureaucracy, getting top jobs in government and provinces.
“You have to give them a reward for playing a significant role in the insurgency,” Ahmad said. Other perks can include a free hand in the running of a province or permission to have a third or fourth wife, a new pickup truck, a share in customs fees or the keys to a house.
Running the country
FILE - Taliban fighters patrol in Kabul, Afghanistan, Thursday, Aug. 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Rahmat Gul, File)
Bahiss called this “the strongest Afghan government in modern times. They can exact a decree to the village level.”
Civil servants keep the country running and are more likely to have a formal or technical education. But the Taliban leading civilian institutions have no proper knowledge of how such institutions are run. “Their qualifications come from God,” Ahmad said.
The Taliban’s legitimacy to govern doesn’t come from Afghans but from their interpretation of religion and culture, said Leena Rikkila Tamang with the International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance.
If a government is defined by the trust and buy-in of citizens, recognition by international powers and legitimacy through processes like elections, then the Taliban do not qualify as a government, she said.
Keeping the lights on
FILE - Afghan refugees settle in a camp near the Torkham Pakistan-Afghanistan border in Torkham, Afghanistan, on Nov. 4, 2023. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi, File)
Afghanistan’s economy has weakened. In 2023, foreign aid still made up around 30% of the country’s GDP.
The U.N. has flown in at least $3.8 billion to fund international aid organizations during the past three years. The United States remains the largest donor, sending more than $3 billion in assistance since the Taliban takeover. But the U.S. watchdog assigned to follow the money says a lot is taxed or diverted.
“The further the cash gets away from the source, the less transparency there is,” said Chris Borgeson, the deputy inspector general for audits and inspections at the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction.
The Taliban also apply vigorous taxation. In 2023, they collected around $2.96 billion. But that’s not much in a country with huge and complex needs, and the Taliban don’t have the means to stimulate the economy.
The central bank can’t print money. Cash is printed abroad. Interest transactions are banned because interest is forbidden in Islam, and banks aren’t lending. The Taliban can’t borrow money because they’re not recognized as the government, and international banking is cut off.
Natural disasters and the flow of Afghans fleeing Pakistan under pressure to return home have underlined Afghanistan’s reliance on foreign aid to meet essential needs.
It’s a big risk if the international community can’t send that kind of aid in the future. “We know Afghanistan will start receiving less money from the international community,” said Muhammad Waheed, World Bank senior economist for Afghanistan.
Another significant blow to the economy has been the Taliban’s ban on female education and most employment, removing half of Afghanistan’s population from the spending and taxpaying that can strengthen the economy.
In addition, the Taliban’s anti-narcotics policy “has wrecked the livelihood of thousands of farmers,” said Bahiss, warning that “just because the population is complacent right now, it won’t stay that way.”
Diplomacy and the global stage
FILE - In this photo released by the state-run WAM news agency, Emirati leader Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, ruler of Abu Dhabi, left, shakes hands with Taliban official Sirajuddin Haqqani at Qasr Al Shati palace in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, on June 4, 2024. (WAM via AP, File)
Afghanistan is a small country in a neighborhood of giants, Bahiss said, and there’s a regional consensus that it’s better to have a stable Afghanistan.
But support from the West, especially the U.S., is key to unlocking billions in frozen assets and lifting sanctions.
The Taliban’s links with China and Russia are important because they are permanent members of the U.N. Security Council. They have also occupied seats on the United Nations’ Credentials Committee, which decides whether to withhold or bestow legitimacy on a government.
For now, Gulf nations are engaging with the Taliban to hedge their bets. “Qatar likes to be seen as leading mediation efforts and the (United Arab Emirates) has been taking that away, especially through supporting international aviation,” Bahiss said.
A meeting this year between the leader of the UAE and a Taliban official facing a U.S. bounty over attacks highlighted the growing global divide on how to deal with the Taliban.
The Taliban are keen to stress how effective they are as a government and to show the country is peaceful and that services are being provided, said Weeda Mehran, an international relations lecturer at the University of Exeter in the United Kingdom.
Although Afghanistan has lost dozens of media outlets due to a Taliban crackdown, the country’s rulers have grasped the impact of social media. Their content is intended to normalize their approach to Islamic law, which is where Arabic-language messaging is important.
“It’s a watered-down and whitewashed account of what is happening in the country,” Mehran said.
Secure, but not safe
FILE - An Afghan woman exits a convenience shop in Kabul, Afghanistan, on Dec. 5, 2021. (AP Photo/ Petros Giannakouris, File)
The Taliban have secured Afghanistan through checkpoints, armored vehicles and hundreds of thousands of fighters. But the country is not safe, especially for women and minorities, as civilian casualties from suicide bombings and other attacks persist.
The Islamic State group has repeatedly targeted the mostly Shiite Dasht-e-Barchi neighborhood in Kabul. The police, slow to confirm attacks and casualty numbers, tell the media that investigations are underway but don’t say if anyone is brought to justice.
A newer phenomenon is the anxiety experienced by Afghan women as the Taliban enforce decrees on clothing, work and travel and the requirement to have a male guardian when traveling.
“A message for the mainstream media is that it’s OK and there is good security in Afghanistan under the Taliban,” Mehran said. “My argument would be, well, whose security are we talking about?” - AP
